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Coronavirus in the UK

Discussion in 'Health and Fitness' started by aposhark, Mar 4, 2020.

  1. Mattecube
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    Mattecube face the sunshine so shadows fall behind you Trusted Member

    Rough guide or not it drives certain decisions rightly or wrongly! Human social behaviour we have the sensible ones, the disbelievers and the down right selfish!
  2. Druk1
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    Druk1 Well-Known Member

  3. oss
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    oss Somewhere Staff Member

    I can't see a local R0 value quoted on those pages and I have that site permanently open in my browser, the infection rate around here is certainly dropping but it is still incredibly high and much higher than I have seen it at any point in this epidemic.
    • Agree Agree x 1
  4. Mattecube
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    Mattecube face the sunshine so shadows fall behind you Trusted Member

    I put in our postcode in the postcode box hit the search button and it came up with local data
  5. oss
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    oss Somewhere Staff Member

    Basic reproduction number - Wikipedia it is certainly not simple.

    Reproduction Number, the number of new infections that arise from a single infected individual, the link specifically states that R0 is a dimensionless number and therefore is not a rate.
  6. oss
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    oss Somewhere Staff Member

    I did the same, but they don't appear to quote R0 they are just showing you the infections numbers over a period of time.
    • Agree Agree x 1
  7. Druk1
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    Druk1 Well-Known Member

    Have you watched it yet? You don't want the dept of sanitation coming for you :confused: stay safe, sane, and sanitised :D New year new virus :ninja:
  8. Druk1
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    Druk1 Well-Known Member

  9. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    Yes. I have seen that. I kind of got the gist of the R number about a year ago and as a consequence treat it as a rough estimate only.
  10. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    Not yet. I will when I get a chance. :D
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  11. oss
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    oss Somewhere Staff Member

    The one thing that you can take from R0 is that if it is above one there is still an exponential expansion of the epidemic and the further above one the greater the exponent.

    The number we get quoted on the news and that is published on the government covid 19 site it what they are estimating for the whole country it might not be accurate at the cusp of a change in direction but it's probably more accurate once a directional trend is established.
    Last edited: Jan 24, 2021
  12. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    Indeed. It will have regional variation.
  13. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    The link between Covid19, obesity and mortality in Britain was discussed on Good Morning Britain this morning.

    Initilly raised by Theresa Coffey yesterday.

    Last edited: Jan 26, 2021
  14. Druk1
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    Druk1 Well-Known Member

    Who is Britain so fat? Is it cryptic? :oops:
  15. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    Why..
  16. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    100,000 deaths

    Tragic but not surprising. Back in March Boris pursued a risky policy of herd immunity. It didn’t work. No doubt, protecting the economy was its main aim. However...

    Not only is the death toll one of the highest the world, the economy is on its knees

    Abject failure.

    Where have we gone wrong...there is a bit of clue in the Good Morning Britain and Boris is only halfway there.

    And it’s not Toblerone :D
  17. bigmac
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    bigmac Well-Known Member Trusted Member

    i lived in Gosport in the 90's.

    Gosport is totally flat. Like Holland i imagine.
    and there were many very fat women there--enormous. Maneaters.

    i ponderd the correlation

    were the women so fat because there were no hills to walk up--and burn a few calories ?

    No!. Gosport is flat because all those fat women have trampled it flat.
  18. oss
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    oss Somewhere Staff Member

    A bit of history and interesting to compare this past year to back them.

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  19. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    Looks like they are all scratching their heads in Parliament today. What went wrong. And they will blame each other.
  20. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    This is a good parallel. Unfortunately it doesn’t solve the conundrum of why the U.K. has suffered more than any other country in Europe. 100,000 deaths so far. And possibly 50 thousand more to come.

    Answers on a postcard to Matt Handjob please.

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